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Thursday Aug 24, 2006

Russia and the new energy-strategic alliance

Taipan Group's Dynamic Market Alert

By J. Christoph Amberger

-- Russia and the new energy-strategic alliance
-- A quick-and-dirty 15% gain in one day!

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A Personal Message From J. Christoph Amberger:

I’m about to ask you to do something crazy.  But if you do, I guarantee it’ll be one of the most rewarding decisions you’ll ever make.  In fact, what I’m about to ask of you will actually make you $14,227 richer this year alone!  So if you’re willing to hear me out, listen to all the facts, and want to grow your wealth faster than you could have ever dreamed, then please read on...

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Russia and the new energy-strategic alliance

by J. Christoph Amberger

With oil prices still above $70 a barrel, Russia is living high on the hog. The country’s gross domestic product grew 6.5% from January through July -- up from 5.6% last year, according to the Russian Economy Ministry. For July, GDP growth came in at 7.4%. Growth projections for the calendar year remain unchanged at 6.6%.

But, unlike China -- or Germany, for that matter -- economic growth is not exclusively due to exports. Exports are balanced by increasing demand on the investment and especially the consumer markets. Domestic consumption in particular was fueled by rising personal incomes -- up 16.9% and 11.2%in June and July, respectively. In fact, imports increased by 30-34% from May to July 2006, thanks to due to the real appreciation of the ruble against other world currencies (including the greenback) and increased consumer spending.

Russia now has a current account surplus of $88.3 billion from January to July 2006. The country’s gold and foreign currency reserves have increased by $83.46 billion from January to July 2006 -- that’s over four times more than in the same period last year.

-- Almost all this growth is due to oil money: Oil revenues now account for more than 50% of the government’s total receipts, and for more than a third of the country’s total export volume. The Kremlin has been spending the money wisely... it just paid off the entire debt it owed the Club of Paris members.

In fact, Russia is currently so successful that OPEC statistics indicate the country is currently beating the pants off the Arabs when it comes to oil production. It is extracting more oil than Saudi Arabia, which would make it the No. 1 producer of oil in the world.

(According to OPEC, Russia produced 9.236 million barrels of oil -- 46,000 barrels more than Saudi Arabia.) The only fly in the ointment: Russia’s oil industry is running close to capacity, with an upside of raising production by only 2% annually until 2009.

-- There are some more sinister aspects to this development.

W. Joseph Stroupe, of the Asia Times Online, writes today: “In essence, the circle defining international energy security is now being drawn. Inside the circle are those producer and consumer states whose political and geopolitical affinity for each other is the result of no mere chance occurrence and whose energy-security interests are being strategically served and addressed on both sides of the producer/consumer equation.

“Some of the economies of the West, such as Germany, are being included within the developing circle. Outside the circle are those economies of the West that are to be left out of the growing international energy-security arrangements currently being constructed, as alluded to above. Interestingly, and as a profound new development, it isn’t the United States that defines the path and scope of the circle. Instead, it is Russia and its strategic partners who are defining it.”

Which is what we have been saying for a long time.

 

A quick-and-dirty 15% gain in one day!

by Ann Sosnowski

Bryan Bottarelli and I are back at it again. We’re giving subscribers quick one-day gains with limited risk.

We just made WaveStrength Trader subscribers at least 15% in one day on the Dow Jones Industrial Average. How?

Well on Tuesday morning, I saw that the Dow was beginning to fall. In technical analysis terms, we call this the descending leg of a rounded top, or a “wave” if you will.

Knowing that we didn’t have much room to play it, but sure that the drop would continue, Bryan and I issued a buy recommendation on the DIA September 114 Puts (DIA UJ). We entered them for only $1.65 per contract.

Then, less than 24 hours later, the Dow breakdown proved brutal. In fact, I was watching the Dow on minute ticks, visualizing investors dropping everything and running to the hills. All near-term price support failed dramatically.

Early yesterday afternoon, we told WaveStrength Trader readers that since we were playing it “quick and dirty,” we should take our profits and run as well. After one day, we were sitting on 15% profits.

Here’s just a sampling of some of the fantastic responses we received from subscribers:

“Bought five contracts at $1.35 and had to leave the computer for couple of hours, so I put in a day limit sell at $1.65.  When I returned they had sold, along with some QQQQ puts. You do good work in a bad market.” –W.H.

“Dear Ann & Bryan: I haven’t been a long time with you guys and I’m already so impressed with your ideas and technique that you advised me. I thank you for that. Coming back for today’s plan. No matter what you call them, I love it, as long as it is a winner. So what’s next? I am looking forward to hear more from you.” – D.D.

“Sold Sept 114 (DIA UJ) at $1.75, in at $1.50, good for 14%. Maybe I’ll get over my skepticism! You made my day!” – C.A.

“I didn’t receive your e-mail “sell” message until almost 3:00, so I sold at $1.80, but I had been able to buy in at $1.55. 16% in one day -- outstanding!  Thanks.”  – K.

This is just another one-day winner on our list of quick-and-dirty plays. We’ve made 54% on Barr Pharmaceuticals and another 15% on the Dow in the past month!

If you want to make fast-moving profits in a matter of days, I recommend that you get started with our one-day winner guarantee!

Learn more…

 

Earnings Announcements
Ansoft Corporation, Bon-Ton Stores, Gerber Scientific, Hormel Foods Corporation, McDATA Corporation, Patterson Dental, and Williams-Sonoma are releasing earnings.
 
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Unlock Dates for September 2006
9/4/06 – Alexza Pharmaceuticals is unlocking 5.5 million shares.
9/5/06 – Eagle Test Systems is unlocking 6.5 million shares.
9/11/06 – TransDigm Group Inc is unlocking 10.9 million shares.
9/20/06 – Clayton Holdings Inc is unlocking 7.5 million shares.
9/20/06 – Tim Hortons Inc is unlocking 29 million shares. 
9/27/06 – Himax Technologies is unlocking 52 million shares.

Keep an eye on Tim Hortons Inc. and Himax Technologies for significant sell-offs.  You may want to short shares or buy puts on these two positions.

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Upgrades and Downgrades
Applied Signal downgraded by CE Unterburg Towbin from Buy to Market Perform.
Campbell Soup downgraded by Prudential from Neutral to Underweight.
Dress Barn downgraded by Merriman Curhan Ford from Buy to Neutral.
Monster Worldwide downgraded by Wachovia from Outperform to Market Perform.
Mills Corporation upgraded by Banc of America from Sell to Neutral.
SeaChange upgraded by Ferris Baker Watts from Neutral to Buy.

Brought to you by GRESSOR.com
http://www.gressor.com  

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Quote of the Day

“In virtually all cases, the interests of the West and of its multinational oil companies and big Western financial institutions are being minimized and/or pushed out as the global trend of nationalization, by one means or another, of the oil-and-gas sector picks up speed.”

- W Joseph Stroupe, August 25, 2006

 

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