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| Thursday Nov 09, 2006
Here's a problem that we won't hear about againTaipan Group's Dynamic Market AlertBy J. Christoph Amberger-------------------
This indicator is so powerful it could have turned every $100 invested into $11,164.04... and it’s so safe it was 100% correct for over 60 years. And on October 18, 2006, it pinpointed the buying opportunity of the decade. Click here now! ------------------- Here’s a problem that we won’t hear about againby J. Christoph Amberger The Democrats’ sweep of both House and Senate (and the happy, happy resonance it found in Europe) may be bullish for the dollar. Not because something fundamental has changed overnight. But because something is likely to disappear -- the “budget deficit.” Mind you, I have no expectations at all that the actual deficit will disappear. While the Clinton administration did indeed produce a notable statistical aberration in squeezing a nominal surplus out of the Internet boom of the 1990s, that surplus was more an indication of the strength of that boom than of Democrat frugality. To the contrary, I expect government spending to go up considerably. The Democratic groundswell may have brought a new generation of more conservative representatives. But they pushed the incorrigible bunch of socialists to the top: the Pelosis, the Kennedys, the Kerrys -- people who have been in office for so long their right hand not only is unaware of what the left is doing, they have forgotten they have a left hand. And that hand is solidly lodged in your pocket. But a reinflating U.S. budget deficit won’t matter anymore. It actually never has. The dollar is roughly at the same exchange rate against the yen and euro at 2006’s 1.9% of GDP budget deficit than it was at 3.6% in 2004. If a Democratic Congress is in charge of running up that deficit, it won’t matter. The media, now back in lockstep with politics, will see to that. And if the media provides a politically acceptable rationalization for growing deficits, traders and investors -- whose institutional memories last from 12 to noon -- will find other explanations to justify moves. -- Higher taxes and the gradual crippling of U.S. take-home pay through new levies may also have a “beneficial” effect on the U.S. current account deficit. After all, if people have less money to spend, they buy less. And if they buy less, the Chinese sell less. Today’s numbers for the September current account deficit indicate that the deficit is already shrinking, thanks to lower energy import prices. The U.S. trade deficit fell 6.8% to $64.3 billion in September from a record the prior month, the biggest drop in almost two years. That gap occurred despite a new record trade deficit with China. The sale means Quilmes is free from antitrust restrictions preventing the company from its planned merger with AmBev. LQU’s stock has shot up nearly $9 today alone on the news that the merger will go through! Erin Beale, who made the original recommendation, is advising you to sell your LQU stock at this time. She recommended the stock as a “buy” back on June 30, 2005 around $24.25. If you’re still holding shares, sell now around $66.15 for a fantastic gain of 177%, including the 1.2% dividend. Erin would love to hear from you at taipan@taipangroup.com if you’ve had success with this play! ------------------- Earnings Announcements Allianz AG, Flowserve Corporation, H&E Equipment, Hewitt Associates, Paragon Technologies, and Zi Corporation are releasing earnings. Brought to you by http://www.AmericanCapitalist.net
Unlock Dates for November 2006 Brought to you by http://www.gressor.com
Upgrades and Downgrades Urban Outfitters upgraded by Roth Capital from Hold to Buy. Bunge upgraded by BMO Capital Markets from Market Perform to Outperform. Cisco Systems upgraded by UBS from Neutral to Buy. Sonic Solutions upgraded by JP Morgan from Neutral to Overweight. Goodrich Petroleum downgraded by Sun Trust Robinson Humphrey from Neutral to Reduce. Napster downgraded by Am Tech / JSA Research from Neutral to Sell. Church & Dwight downgraded by Matrix Research from Buy to Hold. Foxhollow downgraded by Piper Jaffray (Outperform to Market Perform) and by First Albany (Buy to Neutral). Harley-Davidson downgraded by AG Edwards (Buy to Hold) and by Robert W. Baird (Outperform to Neutral). School Specialty downgraded by Oppenheimer from Buy to Neutral.
Brought to you by http://www.vixtrader.com
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