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Thursday Dec 21, 2006

Take A Year-End Gainer!

Today, as we get ready to close the books...

By The WaveStrength Team


Material Profits
There are many stocks out there with similar symbols. 

Trading Tactics
Today, as we get ready to close the books on the 2006 calendar year… 


Material Profits

What's in a Name? 

There are many stocks out there with similar symbols. Here are three in the same industry:

Oceaneering International, Inc. (OII:NYSE)

Input/Output, Inc. (IO:NYSE) 

Oil States International, Inc. (OIS:NYSE)

OII is an oil and gas services company offering engineered services and products for deepwater applications. It operates manned diving vessels for deepwater interventions, offshore production systems, and other industrial equipment. 

IO provides seismic data, design planning and surveying equipment to oil and gas companies. It operates both on land and in marine environments 

OIS supplies offshore vessel and rig equipment, pipeline products, marine winches, and various services such as inspection and repair of equipment, and the design and fabrication of sub-sea products. 

Let's see how these three stack up against each other. 

Click to view larger image.

OII and OIS both have a large dip starting from late spring, but IO has continued its path toward higher ground. All three of these stocks are necessary for the oil industry to progress, but you could say IO is a leading indicator of more business for the other two. 

With seismic surveying capabilities in high demand, one might assume that oil and gas producers are doing a lot of “pre-drilling” activity. 

Other oil services, like pipelines and rigs will follow.

Here's the breakdown for each:

Oceaneering International, Inc. (OII:NYSE)

52-week change: 54.50%
52-week high: $47.23
52-week low: $24.48

Profit Margin: 9.32%
Operating Margin: 14.93%
Quarterly Revenue Growth (yoy): 28.20%
Quarterly Earnings Growth (yoy): 117.60% 

Input/Output, Inc. (IO:NYSE)

52-week change: 78.98%
52-week high: $13.87
52-week low: $6.75 

Profit Margin: 6.79%
Operating Margin: 8.69%
Quarterly Revenue Growth (yoy): 38.30%
Quarterly Earnings Growth (yoy): 8.60% 

Oil States International, Inc. (OIS:NYSE)
52-week change: -3.04%
52-week high: $43.87
52-week low: $25.00

Profit Margin: 10.05%
Operating Margin: 15.04%
Quarterly Revenue Growth (yoy): 21.60%
Quarterly Earnings Growth (yoy): 65.10% 

This data shows a bit of a more complex story than the comparative chart above. IO appears to be performing better, based on the chart, but a glance at profit margins and revenue and earnings growth shows you that there's more beneath the surface. 

One thing investors should keep their eyes on is third-quarter earnings. IO announced it's maintaining its 25-36 cent outlook in the face of Thompson Financial analysts' forecasts of 14 cents per share. If it misses its outlook, expect the stock to fall on the news.

To be fair, other analysts are expecting 32 cents per share, and for the company to meet its 2007 outlook of between 45-60 cents per share. 

Longer-term investors should expect a blip when the next earnings are released in the new year. 

Again, IO could be a leading indicator of how other oil services companies will perform. As we edge into 2007, you might expect to see better movement from both OII and OIS. 

Sara

Trading Tactics
Take a Year-End 55.5% Gainer 

On May 2, I posted a special report titled My Favorite Large-Cap, Mid-Cap, Small-Cap, and ETF Plays.

This report was issued to our WS APEX readers, but I also spoke about this report at our Atlanta Wealth Convention and here in the pages of WaveStrength Market Report. 

Today, as we get ready to close the books on the 2006 calendar year, I'd like to officially take profits on one of my picks from that report -- which was my recommendation to buy shares of The Knot (KNOT:NASDAQ) for $16.50 per share. As I write, the stock trades for $25.66, good for a 55.5% gain in seven months. 

If you recall, I called KNOT my favorite small-cap stock for two reasons:

1.) It enjoys a dominant market presence in a very specific market niche.

2.) More importantly, it caters to the most dominant spending demographic on the face of the earth: Newly-engaged brides. 

Let's face it, fiancées do not hesitate to drop staggering amounts of money on their weddings -- and that's why every business involved in weddings -- from pastry chef managers to chisel-sporting ice sculptors to high-priced wedding planners -- gladly pay for representation on The Knot.

That's why I called The Knot “the premiere online wedding portal in the United States” -- and recommended the shares in early spring (which coincided, of course, with the prime wedding season). As it turns out, this analysis was spot-on correct. Since that recommendation, the stock has gained over 50% -- and now it's time to cash in. 

Let's go ahead and take profits on our position in KNOT -- selling the shares over $25 anytime between now and the end of the 2006 calendar year. 

If you made this play alongside me, then congrats on your gains. 

Bryan

=================================================================== 

Copyright 2006 by The Taipan Group,LLC. All rights are reserved. Printed in USA. Information, opinion, research, and commentary contained herein is obtained from sources believed to be reliable; their reliability, however, cannot be guaranteed. The maxim of Caveat Emptor applies - let the buyer beware! WaveStrength Market Report does not provide individual investment advice, or act as an investment advisor, or individually advocate the purchase or sale of any security or investment.

Investments recommended in this service should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor, and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.

WaveStrength Market Report reserves the right to use email endorsements and/or profit claims from its subscribers for marketing purposes. All names will be kept anonymous and only subscriber's initials will be used unless express written permission has been granted to the contrary.

The Taipan Group, LLC.expressly forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security that they recommend to their readers. Furthermore, all employees and agents of The Taipan Group, LLC and its affiliate companies must wait 24 hours before following an initial recommendation published on the Internet, or 72 hours after a printed publication is mailed. 

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